Fire SuitedTier 2
at S5 店冠賽
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-7-0
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.2%
avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1245
· median 1245
· range 1151–1338
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1241
Q3 1433
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.7 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.8% | -17.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
