← S5 店冠賽

Wind Luxem ZanderTier 2

at S5 店冠賽

decks
2 (6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0% avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
49.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1254 · median 1254 · range 1212–1296 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106 Q1 1241 Q3 1433 1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 10.0% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 40.7% -6.9
Water Genbu 10.0% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 10.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.1% -9.5
Fire Crux Lorraine 6.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.8% +2.7
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.7% 0
Fire Suited 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.1% +11.3
Fire Suzaku 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.6% +10.6
Wind Seiryuu 6.7% 0
Fire Oblation 3.3% 0
Slimes 3.3% 0
Water Tera Cleric 3.3% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.5% +7.2
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.3% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Luxem Zander decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Luxem Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Sirocco Operative -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Poisoned Dagger -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Longtail Grovesward +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Mystic Purifier -1.00 0 1 0
Tempest Downfall +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Art of War +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/34734/archetypes/Wind Luxem Zander