Dane's Games Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	53.3%	53.3%	51.6%	1273	↑ top
2		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	39.4%	45.0%	45.8%	1173	↓ low
3		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.7%	40.0%	41.0%	1092	↓ low
4		Water Dawn of Ashes	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	46.5%	50.0%	48.4%	1310	↑ top
5		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-0-2	66.7%	60.9%	53.3%	55.1%	1245	—
6		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-0-2	75.0%	52.5%	55.0%	51.0%	1340	↑ top
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-0-2	66.7%	60.9%	53.3%	55.1%	1245	—
8		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-2	50.0%	53.0%	50.0%	51.2%	1159	↓ low
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	53.4%	50.0%	51.6%	1234	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Penguin Mill 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%