← Dane's Games Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Dane's Games Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 75.0% | 52.5% | 55.0% | 51.0% | 1340 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 53.3% | 53.3% | 51.6% | 1273 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 60.9% | 53.3% | 55.1% | 1245 | — |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 60.9% | 53.3% | 55.1% | 1245 | — |
| 5 | Water Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 46.5% | 50.0% | 48.4% | 1310 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 53.4% | 50.0% | 51.6% | 1234 | — |
| 8 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.4% | 45.0% | 45.8% | 1173 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 30.7% | 40.0% | 41.0% | 1092 | ↓ low |