← Grand Arena DTR Store Championship
Fire ArisannaTier 2
at Grand Arena DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.7%
avg ELO -4.0 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1185
· median 1185
· range 1185–1185
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1162
Q3 1276
1478
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
