← Grand Arena DTR Store Championship
Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Grand Arena DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-5-1
overall winrate
8.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
29.1%
avg ELO -11.1 per match
expected value
40.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1150
· median 1150
· range 1143–1156
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1162
Q3 1276
1478
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.8% | -5.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Fire Arisanna | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
