← Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/2/2025

Fire SuzakuTier 1

at Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/2/2025

decks
2 (4.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.9% avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
50.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1206 · median 1206 · range 1206–1206 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1206 Q3 1418 1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 12.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Crux Mage 9.8% 0
Water Aetherwing 9.8% 0
Water Tera Mage 9.8% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 7.3% 0
Water Genbu 7.3% 0
Wind Seiryuu 7.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.1% +1.7
Water Umbra Guardian 4.9% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 2.4% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.4% 0
Fire Lorraine 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Fire Suited 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Tera Cleric 2.4% 0
Horse and Taxes 2.4% 0
Slimes 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.5
Water Astra Ranger 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.3% +2.0
Water Tera Cleric 2.4% 0
Wind Byakko 2.4% 0
Wind Umbra Guardian 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/35507/archetypes/Fire Suzaku