← Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/2/2025
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/2/2025
decks
5
(12.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
6-7-1
overall winrate
46.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.5%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
50.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1381
· median 1413
· range 1211–1466
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1206
Q3 1418
1652
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.4% | -1.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Genbu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.7% | -1.2 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
