← Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/23/2025

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Weekly 10/23/2025. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Aggro 2 6.2% 8 87.5% 50.7% 61.3% 50.3% 1333
2 Fire Crux Lorraine 2 6.2% 5 60.0% 49.8% 55.5% 50.3% 1446 ↑ top
3 Water Umbra Guardian 1 3.1% 3 66.7% 50.6% 55.0% 50.4% 1209 ↓ low
4 Wind Byakko 1 3.1% 4 75.0% 51.4% 53.3% 50.5% 1444 ↑ top
5 Fire Suzaku 1 3.1% 4 50.0% 50.7% 51.7% 50.5% 1206 ↓ low
6 Water Aetherwing 3 9.4% 9 61.1% 50.0% 51.2% 49.8% 1299
7 Fire Astra Cleric 1 3.1% 3 66.7% 51.3% 51.0% 50.4% 1083 ↓ low
8 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 3.1% 2 50.0% 50.9% 50.0% 50.5% 1259
9 Wind Shadowstrike 1 3.1% 2 50.0% 50.3% 50.0% 50.2% 1215 ↓ low
10 Wind Seiryuu 4 12.5% 12 54.2% 50.3% 49.6% 49.9% 1306
11 Fire Slimes 2 6.2% 6 41.7% 49.3% 49.1% 49.5% 1460 ↑ top
12 Water Tera Mage 2 6.2% 5 40.0% 50.5% 48.2% 50.1% 1246 ↓ low
13 Fire Crux Mage 5 15.6% 15 43.3% 50.7% 47.5% 50.3% 1346
14 Wind Beast 1 3.1% 2 25.0% 49.3% 42.9% 49.4% 1100 ↓ low
15 Wind Umbra Guardian 1 3.1% 3 33.3% 48.5% 42.9% 49.0% 1463 ↑ top
16 Water Genbu 1 3.1% 3 16.7% 48.4% 41.0% 49.0% 1316
17 Fire Tera Cleric 1 3.1% 2 0.0% 48.3% 40.0% 49.0% 1094 ↓ low
18 Water Astra Cleric 1 3.1% 2 0.0% 48.1% 40.0% 48.9% 1241 ↓ low
19 Water Tera Tamer 1 3.1% 2 0.0% 48.3% 33.3% 48.3% 1219 ↓ low