← Zulu's (Lynnwood) Board Game Cafe DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Zulu's (Lynnwood) Board Game Cafe DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 85.7% | 61.7% | 62.1% | 56.5% | 1471 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 78.6% | 62.3% | 56.2% | 53.8% | 1327 | — |
| 3 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 70.0% | 58.0% | 55.7% | 54.4% | 1310 | — |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 64.3% | 61.8% | 54.8% | 55.2% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 9.5% | 8 | 62.5% | 53.4% | 52.7% | 51.4% | 1277 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 9.5% | 10 | 45.0% | 46.2% | 52.4% | 51.9% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Tera Cleric | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.9% | 50.0% | 52.0% | 1100 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.0% | 50.2% | 1357 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 9.5% | 7 | 50.0% | 48.3% | 50.0% | 49.5% | 1325 | — |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 9.5% | 9 | 44.4% | 48.3% | 47.8% | 47.8% | 1375 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.8% | 46.7% | 48.1% | 1398 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Tera Mage | 2 | 9.5% | 7 | 28.6% | 45.0% | 43.3% | 47.2% | 1141 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 4.8% | 1 | 0.0% | 43.4% | 40.0% | 43.4% | 1272 | — |
| 14 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 4.8% | 2 | 0.0% | 32.5% | 40.0% | 39.5% | 1318 | — |
| 15 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 4.8% | 2 | 0.0% | 34.9% | 40.0% | 41.3% | 1341 | — |
| 16 | Fire Zander | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 0.0% | 30.9% | 37.3% | 40.2% | 1194 | ↓ low |