Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at 20251018 貓腳印-桃園店 DTR 店冠賽
decks
3
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
14-6-1
overall winrate
69.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.8%
avg ELO +6.4 per match
expected value
56.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1416
· median 1356
· range 1302–1591
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1025
Q1 1198
Q3 1394
1591
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +21.0 |
| Wind Allies | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 69.4% | +14.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.9% | +13.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.7% | -5.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +21.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.9% | -9.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Water Genbu | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
