DTR Massachusetts Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	5	10.0%	15-8-3	63.5%	64.8%	54.3%	55.7%	1268	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	4	8.0%	12-8-3	58.7%	49.4%	51.8%	48.9%	1351	↑ top
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	4	8.0%	14-4-2	75.0%	67.4%	55.7%	54.1%	1345	↑ top
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	8.0%	14-8-2	62.5%	48.6%	52.6%	48.5%	1299	—
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	3	6.0%	6-9-3	41.7%	53.2%	46.8%	50.6%	1196	↓ low
6		Water Genbu	Tier 2	3	6.0%	5-10-0	33.3%	42.6%	43.7%	46.4%	1135	↓ low
7		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	3	6.0%	7-10-1	41.7%	43.9%	45.6%	46.5%	1272	—
8		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	4.0%	7-5-0	58.3%	57.6%	52.1%	52.5%	1211	—
9		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	4.0%	5-7-0	41.7%	44.1%	46.7%	47.1%	1246	—
10		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-4-0	33.3%	48.6%	43.1%	47.9%	1109	↓ low
11		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-2-1	58.3%	48.8%	48.5%	46.9%	1349	↑ top
12		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-4-0	33.3%	33.1%	47.1%	46.1%	1311	—
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-1-3	58.3%	54.3%	48.5%	49.6%	1291	—
14		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-3-0	50.0%	43.4%	52.5%	50.2%	1432	↑ top
15		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.0%	46.7%	47.5%	1364	↑ top
16		Fire Tera Diao Chan	Tier 2	1	2.0%	5-2-0	71.4%	64.8%	53.3%	53.8%	1328	↑ top
17		Fire Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	48.5%	42.2%	45.7%	1180	↓ low
18		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.2%	48.0%	49.3%	1242	—
19		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.0%	1-4-0	20.0%	40.8%	44.0%	46.7%	1084	↓ low
20		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-3-1	41.7%	49.9%	46.1%	48.8%	1163	↓ low
21		Water Dawn of Ashes	Tier 2	1	2.0%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.5%	40.0%	39.2%	1163	↓ low
22		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-4-0	33.3%	38.4%	49.3%	48.1%	1153	↓ low
23		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	2.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	38.3%	48.0%	47.8%	1221	—
24		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.0%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.5%	40.0%	39.2%	1163	↓ low
25		Water Triskit	Tier 2	1	2.0%	1-5-0	16.7%	37.3%	42.8%	46.0%	1055	↓ low
26		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.0%	4-1-1	75.0%	51.3%	57.3%	51.8%	1453	↑ top
27		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-4-1	35.7%	39.8%	49.0%	48.3%	1123	↓ low
28		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-1-2	60.0%	57.8%	51.7%	52.8%	1311	↑ top
29		Wind Beast	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-2-2	57.1%	59.1%	50.8%	52.1%	1100	↓ low
30		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-2-1	58.3%	55.1%	48.8%	48.4%	1282	—
31		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	43.4%	43.3%	44.7%	1222	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 10.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 8.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 8.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 8.0%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 6.0%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 6.0%
• Water Umbra Guardian 3 decks · 6.0%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 4.0%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 4.0%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Tera Kongming 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Tera Cleric 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Triskit 1 deck · 2.0%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.0%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.0%
• Wind Beast 1 deck · 2.0%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 2.0%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.0%