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Fire ArcaneTier 2

at Store Championship

decks
1 (3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 7-1-1
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
74.6% avg ELO +11.4 per match
expected value
58.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1364 · median 1364 · range 1364–1364 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1103 Q1 1230 Q3 1406 1574
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 13.3% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.5% +4.4
Wind Seiryuu 13.3% 0
Fire Suzaku 10.0% 0
Water Aetherwing 10.0% 0
Water Genbu 10.0% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 63.4% +10.0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 0
Fire Aetherwing 3.3% 0
Fire Byakko 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Fire Crux Mage 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Fire Crux Merlin 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.3% +21.3
Fire Umbra Ranger 3.3% 0
Slimes 3.3% 0
Water Allies 3.3% 0
Water Crux Mage 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.6% +15.3
Water Fractal 3.3% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.3% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 3.3% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/36424/archetypes/Fire Arcane