Water Wind VanitasTier 2
at JWW DTR Store Champs
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.4%
avg ELO -4.9 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1201
· median 1201
· range 1201–1201
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1184
Q3 1419
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Wind Astra Diana | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Wind Vanitas decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
