Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at JWW DTR Store Champs
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-3-2
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
49.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1452
· median 1452
· range 1314–1590
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1184
Q3 1419
1689
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 18.8% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.3% | -3.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -5.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Wind Astra Diana | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
