Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at JWW DTR Store Champs
decks
3
(18.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
6-5-2
overall winrate
53.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.3%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1248
· median 1191
· range 1165–1388
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1184
Q3 1419
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 18.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.7% | +2.0 |
| Water Genbu | 18.8% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 45.8% | -2.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +5.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Wind Astra Diana | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
