Road to Ascent Baguio Leg

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 1	3	10.3%	6-6-2	50.0%	51.4%	50.8%	50.6%	1145	↓ low
2		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	3	10.3%	4-7-2	38.5%	48.5%	45.8%	49.2%	1241	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	6.9%	3-8-0	27.3%	46.2%	44.4%	48.7%	1227	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	6.9%	8-3-0	72.7%	51.9%	55.0%	50.5%	1378	↑ top
5		Fire Suited	Tier 1	2	6.9%	7-4-0	63.6%	52.6%	54.1%	51.0%	1254	—
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	6.9%	6-3-1	65.0%	51.4%	53.1%	50.2%	1262	—
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	6.9%	3-3-1	50.0%	49.0%	51.2%	49.9%	1295	↑ top
8		Fire Diao Chan	Tier 2	1	3.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	45.3%	40.0%	48.1%	1174	↓ low
9		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	3.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	49.1%	48.9%	50.1%	1137	↓ low
10		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	3.4%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.5%	52.5%	50.9%	1150	↓ low
11		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	3.4%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.8%	52.5%	50.1%	1348	↑ top
12		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	3.4%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.7%	50.0%	50.4%	1175	↓ low
13		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.4%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.7%	50.0%	50.4%	1175	↓ low
14		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	3.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	45.8%	40.0%	48.3%	1107	↓ low
15		Water Oblation	Tier 2	1	3.4%	2-1-0	66.7%	51.5%	52.0%	50.6%	1287	↑ top
16		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.4%	2-0-3	70.0%	51.9%	54.0%	50.6%	1241	—
17		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	3.4%	1-3-1	30.0%	48.6%	44.0%	49.2%	1224	—
18		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	3.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	46.2%	40.0%	48.5%	1118	↓ low
19		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.4%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.5%	52.7%	49.9%	1324	↑ top
20		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.4%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.8%	52.5%	50.6%	1229	—
21		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	3.4%	5-0-0	100.0%	52.6%	60.0%	50.9%	1421	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 3 decks · 10.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 10.3%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 6.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 6.9%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 6.9%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 6.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 6.9%
• Fire Diao Chan 1 deck · 3.4%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 3.4%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 3.4%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 3.4%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 3.4%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.4%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 3.4%
• Water Oblation 1 deck · 3.4%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.4%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 3.4%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 3.4%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 3.4%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 3.4%