Fire SuitedTier 1
at Road to Ascent Baguio Leg
decks
2
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
7-4-0
overall winrate
63.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.6%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
54.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1254
· median 1254
· range 1228–1280
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1175
Q3 1287
1421
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diao Chan | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
