Outpost Ghent | Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	30.0%	8-3-0	72.7%	70.3%	58.2%	57.9%	1285	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	20.0%	2-4-0	33.3%	52.5%	43.8%	49.4%	1144	↓ low
3		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	10.0%	2-2-0	50.0%	52.7%	48.6%	48.9%	1292	—
4		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-2-1	58.3%	43.9%	52.0%	45.3%	1396	↑ top
5		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	10.0%	2-2-1	50.0%	47.2%	49.8%	47.6%	1421	↑ top
6		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	32.6%	41.1%	38.3%	1158	↓ low
7		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	34.2%	45.7%	43.9%	1176	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 30.0%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 10.0%