← GAMERSSHOP DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GAMERSSHOP DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 12.5% | 13 | 84.6% | 71.4% | 59.4% | 57.5% | 1445 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 83.3% | 54.3% | 56.2% | 50.0% | 1630 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 70.0% | 55.1% | 55.3% | 52.6% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 70.0% | 55.1% | 55.3% | 52.6% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 80.0% | 61.0% | 54.2% | 52.5% | 1487 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 60.0% | 49.1% | 52.3% | 48.9% | 1483 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.7% | 51.4% | 51.5% | 1479 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 40.0% | 40.8% | 48.5% | 47.1% | 1340 | — |
| 9 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 50.0% | 57.3% | 48.1% | 50.7% | 1421 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.9% | 46.7% | 49.0% | 1241 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 25.0% | 40.7% | 46.2% | 47.4% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Suited | 2 | 8.3% | 8 | 50.0% | 52.3% | 46.1% | 48.0% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 52.1% | 45.7% | 49.7% | 1221 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Neos | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 33.3% | 50.2% | 45.7% | 50.0% | 1331 | — |
| 15 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 8.3% | 8 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 44.4% | 46.1% | 1315 | — |
| 16 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 28.7% | 42.9% | 41.8% | 1550 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 10.0% | 34.1% | 41.4% | 44.8% | 1235 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 40.2% | 41.0% | 44.1% | 1161 | ↓ low |