Fire Crux MageTier 1
at 貓腳印東門店DTR店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(4.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
10-4-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.8%
avg ELO +5.6 per match
expected value
53.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1314
· median 1314
· range 1146–1482
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1223
Q3 1426
1542
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.2% | -16.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.1% | +6.8 |
| Water Genbu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Wind Allies | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Fire Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
