Fire Crux MerlinTier 2
at 貓腳印東門店DTR店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.1%
avg ELO -8.5 per match
expected value
47.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1419
· median 1419
· range 1419–1419
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1223
Q3 1426
1542
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.5% | +10.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.4 |
| Fire Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Merlin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
