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Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at 貓腳印東門店DTR店家冠軍賽

decks
3 (7.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14 6-7-1
overall winrate
46.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.1% avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1286 · median 1223 · range 1093–1542 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076 Q1 1223 Q3 1426 1542
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 67% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.8% 0
Fire Suzaku 7.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.9% -1.1
Water Genbu 7.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.2% +6.7
Wind Crux Lorraine 7.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.2% +1.2
Fire Crux Mage 4.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.1% -20.6
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.9% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.1% +16.1
Water Allies 4.9% 0
Water Tera Cleric 4.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 42.1% -7.6
Wind Allies 4.9% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 4.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.1% -15.9
Fire Aggro 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.3% -22.0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.4% 0
Fire Exia 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.4% -8.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.4% 0
Fire Neos 2.4% 0
Fire Rile 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.3% +13.3
Slimes 2.4% 0
Water Aetherwing 2.4% 0
Water Astra Ranger 2.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.4% +0.7
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.4% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 48 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 48 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 2 0 0
Resolute Stand +1.00 2 0 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 2 0
Displace +1.00 2 0 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 2 0 0
Winds of Destiny +1.00 2 0 0
Noble Dissolution +1.00 2 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 2 0 0
Longtail Grovesward -0.50 0 1 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin +0.50 1 0 1
Fatestone of Revelations -0.50 0 1 0
Dungeon Guide +0.50 1 0 1
Fatestone of Progress -0.50 0 1 0
Light the Hunt -0.50 0 1 0
Forest Cake +0.50 1 0 1
Stifling Trap +0.50 1 0 1
Expel the Departed -0.50 0 1 0
Sunblessed Gazelle +0.50 1 0 1
Bauble of Mending -0.50 0 1 0
Backup Charger +0.50 1 0 1
Life Essence Amulet -0.50 0 1 0
Whirlwind Threads -0.50 0 1 0
Companion Fatestone -0.50 0 1 0
Enchanted Fete -0.50 0 1 0
Inert Sword +0.50 1 0 1
Advent of the Shenju -0.50 0 1 0
Peacock of Prosperity -0.50 0 1 0
Fated Keepsake -0.50 0 1 0
Fairy Whispers +0.50 1 0 1
Foraging Fox -0.50 0 1 0
The Looking Glass +0.50 1 0 1
Baby Green Slime +0.50 1 0 1
Brisk Windtrotter +0.50 1 0 1
Strengthen the Bonds -0.50 0 1 0
Journey's Beginning -0.50 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +0.50 1 0 1
Fatestone of Heaven -0.50 0 1 0
Byakko's Command +0.50 1 0 1
Censer of Restful Peace +0.50 1 0 1
Regal Inquisition +0.50 1 0 1
Craggy Fatestone -0.50 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +0.50 1 0 1
Seiryuu's Command +0.50 1 0 1
Beseeched Fatestone +0.50 1 0 1
Windmill Engineer -0.50 0 1 0
Spellward Scepter -0.50 0 1 0
Incapacitate -0.50 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/36898/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu