← Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/6/2025
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/6/2025
decks
2
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-4-2
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
40.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1286
· median 1286
· range 1225–1348
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1209
Q3 1416
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.7% | -1.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
