← Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/6/2025
Water AetherwingTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/6/2025
decks
2
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-1-1
overall winrate
81.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.3%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
58.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1364
· median 1364
· range 1180–1548
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1209
Q3 1416
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Water Fractal | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
