EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Weekly 11/02/2025. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd

Water Aetherwing

56.0%

5.9% share · 3 matches

5.9% share · 3 matches

11.8% share · 8 matches

#	Archetype	Decks	Share	Matches	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1	Wind Crux Lorraine	1	5.9%	3	100.0%	50.4%	63.3%	50.3%	1463	↑ top
2	Water Aetherwing	1	5.9%	3	83.3%	50.0%	56.0%	50.0%	1548	↑ top
3	Fire Crux Mage	2	11.8%	8	68.8%	52.2%	55.9%	50.8%	1298	—
4	Fire Suzaku	1	5.9%	5	80.0%	51.9%	54.3%	50.5%	1206	↓ low
5	Fire Crux Lorraine	2	11.8%	6	50.0%	49.9%	51.4%	50.1%	1384	↑ top
6	Fire Slimes	1	5.9%	2	50.0%	48.9%	50.0%	49.4%	1359	—
7	Fire Umbra Ranger	1	5.9%	2	50.0%	50.5%	50.0%	50.3%	1425	↑ top
8	Wind Shadowstrike	2	11.8%	8	50.0%	50.3%	49.1%	50.0%	1230	↓ low
9	Fire Umbra Guardian	1	5.9%	3	33.3%	48.4%	48.0%	49.4%	1348	—
10	Fire Firebloom Burn	1	5.9%	2	25.0%	49.7%	46.7%	50.0%	1231	↓ low
11	Wind Astra Cleric	1	5.9%	3	33.3%	48.7%	46.7%	49.4%	1388	↑ top
12	Wind Wakeup Combo	1	5.9%	3	33.3%	49.8%	46.7%	49.9%	1381	↑ top
13	Wind Seiryuu	1	5.9%	5	30.0%	49.3%	45.7%	49.8%	1232	↓ low
14	Wind Allies	2	11.8%	7	14.3%	48.6%	41.2%	49.4%	1316	—