← Distorted Reflections Store Championship by Metagame Thailand
SlimesTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship by Metagame Thailand
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.9%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1215
· median 1215
· range 1165–1265
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1174
Q3 1298
1478
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.3 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +3.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.9% | -12.6 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
