← trinity card capital presents DTR store championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at trinity card capital presents DTR store championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 12.5% 5 80.0% 64.5% 56.0% 55.6% 1274 ↑ top
2 Wind Shadowstrike 2 25.0% 8 68.8% 57.0% 55.8% 53.0% 1237
3 Wind Neos 1 12.5% 4 37.5% 45.6% 50.8% 50.9% 1173
4 Water Ravishing Mill 1 12.5% 3 50.0% 50.2% 47.5% 48.4% 1222
5 Slimes 2 25.0% 7 35.7% 43.6% 45.2% 47.1% 1199
6 Water Fractal 1 12.5% 3 0.0% 34.3% 35.6% 39.4% 1127 ↓ low