← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #16
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #16.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 51.6% | 56.7% | 50.7% | 1302 | — |
| 2 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.2% | 53.3% | 50.1% | 1231 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 49.8% | 53.3% | 49.9% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1313 | — |
| 5 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.3% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.0% | 50.2% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 46.7% | 50.0% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.3% | 40.0% | 49.2% | 1203 | ↓ low |