← No-Banlist Revelfest Tournament!
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at No-Banlist Revelfest Tournament!
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
43.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1302
· median 1302
· range 1302–1302
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1203
Q1 1239
Q3 1425
1508
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 46.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Erupting | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
