← No-Banlist Revelfest Tournament!
Horse and TaxesTier 2
at No-Banlist Revelfest Tournament!
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-6-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
36.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1231
· median 1231
· range 1231–1231
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1203
Q1 1239
Q3 1425
1508
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 46.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Allies | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
