← Grand Archive 2024 World Championships
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Grand Archive 2024 World Championships
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.7%
avg ELO -8.7 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1685
· median 1685
· range 1685–1685
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1281
Q1 1464
Q3 1642
1685
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Arcane | 31.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 21.7% | -27.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.3% | -26.7 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 30.9% | -30.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
