← Grand Archive 2024 World Championships
Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at Grand Archive 2024 World Championships
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Arcane | 31.2% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 23.6% | -13.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 25.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.5% | +13.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.0% | +24.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.8% | +13.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 4 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 4 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevolent Battle Priest | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stillwater Patrol | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seafaring Mercenary | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deep Sea Beastbonder | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |