Mad Alpaca Games Davis PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	21.4%	6-5-0	54.5%	49.7%	49.7%	49.6%	1410	↑ top
2		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	14.3%	7-2-0	77.8%	49.6%	56.4%	50.3%	1483	↑ top
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	14.3%	4-4-0	50.0%	44.6%	50.0%	48.2%	1429	↑ top
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	7.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	37.0%	36.7%	43.5%	1049	↓ low
5		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	7.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	57.1%	50.0%	53.6%	1336	—
6		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.7%	42.9%	45.5%	1129	↓ low
7		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	7.1%	4-0-0	100.0%	73.2%	60.0%	59.4%	1418	↑ top
8		Water Tera Mage	Tier 1	1	7.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	55.7%	52.5%	53.4%	1179	↓ low
9		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	49.8%	42.9%	48.2%	1124	↓ low
10		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	7.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	44.1%	50.0%	51.1%	1216	↓ low
11		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	49.8%	42.9%	48.2%	1124	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 21.4%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 14.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 7.1%