紙牌屋店冠賽

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	16.7%	5-4-2	54.5%	52.9%	50.6%	50.8%	1281	—
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	16.7%	2-4-1	35.7%	37.7%	47.5%	45.7%	1335	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	8.3%	4-1-2	71.4%	67.6%	54.2%	55.8%	1455	↑ top
4		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-3-0	50.0%	37.0%	50.0%	45.2%	1393	↑ top
5		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-2	66.7%	49.0%	51.2%	48.2%	1535	↑ top
6		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.3%	48.0%	51.4%	1126	↓ low
7		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	8.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	53.0%	48.6%	51.4%	1242	↓ low
8		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-1-2	60.0%	67.6%	52.0%	55.9%	1228	↓ low
9		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-2-1	37.5%	34.1%	48.0%	44.4%	1409	↑ top
10		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	8.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.2%	48.0%	50.4%	1160	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 2 decks · 16.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 8.3%