← Valhalla Hobby Phantom Monarch Championship
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Valhalla Hobby Phantom Monarch Championship
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.8%
avg ELO -3.1 per match
expected value
42.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1218
· median 1218
· range 1218–1218
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1160
Q1 1184
Q3 1365
1404
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Exia | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
