← Highpoint Store Championships! - Phantom Monarchs
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Highpoint Store Championships! - Phantom Monarchs
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 8.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.4 |
| Slimes | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |