← Highpoint Store Championships! - Phantom Monarchs
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Highpoint Store Championships! - Phantom Monarchs
decks
3
(13.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
9-5-0
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.8%
avg ELO +5.7 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1300
· median 1284
· range 1233–1384
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1232
Q3 1394
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 8.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +3.3 |
| Slimes | 8.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 71.9% | +21.0 |
| Wind Exia | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
