← Wolfspider Games & Entertainment Store Championship PTM
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Wolfspider Games & Entertainment Store Championship PTM.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Wind Shadowstrike
59.0%
↑ top
1st
Fire Crux Lorraine
60.0%
↑ top
3rd
Water Umbra Guardian
52.0%
↓ low
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 100.0% | 66.8% | 60.0% | 59.3% | 1348 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 87.5% | 65.2% | 59.0% | 58.0% | 1301 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.9% | 52.0% | 53.9% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 23.1% | 10 | 55.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | 50.3% | 1252 | — |
| 5 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.5% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 1211 | — |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 50.0% | 50.7% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.1% | 46.7% | 47.4% | 1230 | — |
| 8 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.2% | 45.0% | 46.5% | 1145 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Umbra Ciel | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 46.8% | 45.0% | 47.5% | 1229 | — |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.7% | 44.0% | 45.9% | 1128 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 16.7% | 29.9% | 42.0% | 39.3% | 1355 | ↑ top |