← Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 5.6% 8 87.5% 80.3% 60.6% 63.0% 1271
2 Wind Seiryuu 2 11.1% 14 64.3% 55.6% 53.7% 52.2% 1350 ↑ top
3 Water Fractal 3 16.7% 16 56.2% 50.1% 52.7% 51.2% 1313 ↑ top
4 Fire Crux Lorraine 2 11.1% 12 45.8% 46.4% 50.1% 49.5% 1229
5 Fire Crux Mage 1 5.6% 5 40.0% 58.5% 50.0% 55.4% 999 ↓ low
6 Water Aetherwing 1 5.6% 5 40.0% 35.2% 48.9% 45.9% 1263
7 Wind Shadowstrike 1 5.6% 5 40.0% 47.0% 48.1% 48.7% 1272
8 Wind Astra Cleric 1 5.6% 5 40.0% 48.1% 47.2% 49.0% 1192 ↓ low
9 Fire Luxem Assassin 2 11.1% 11 50.0% 43.6% 47.0% 45.5% 1286
10 Fire Suzaku 1 5.6% 5 40.0% 51.4% 46.0% 48.9% 1319 ↑ top
11 Fire Aggro 1 5.6% 4 25.0% 46.6% 44.4% 48.6% 1122 ↓ low
12 Fire Aetherwing 2 11.1% 10 30.0% 35.9% 44.3% 45.3% 1147 ↓ low