← Hobbies Corner PTM Store Champ
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Hobbies Corner PTM Store Champ
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1393
· median 1393
· range 1325–1461
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1210
Q3 1433
1513
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 18.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.2% | -8.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.4 |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.0% | +8.6 |
| Wind Ciel | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
