Water Slice & DiceTier 2
at Arcanum PTM Store Champion
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.6%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1128
· median 1128
· range 1128–1128
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1183
Q3 1359
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horse and Taxes | 17.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.2% | -5.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Chess | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Slice & Dice decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
