← ⛵ Flagship PTM Store Championship
Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at ⛵ Flagship PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
2-1-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.3%
avg ELO +9.2 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1164
· median 1164
· range 1164–1164
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1078
Q1 1163
Q3 1347
1519
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Fire Suited | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
