← ⛵ Flagship PTM Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at ⛵ Flagship PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-6-1
overall winrate
45.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.7%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
48.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1192
· median 1192
· range 1079–1304
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1078
Q1 1163
Q3 1347
1519
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.5% | -12.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.7% | +3.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.3% | -17.0 |
| Fire Suited | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Wind Chess | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
