PTM Store Champion at Oinker's Island

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	22.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.6%	46.7%	47.9%	1262	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.2%	52.0%	52.3%	1175	↓ low
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	11.1%	4-1-0	80.0%	64.8%	58.0%	56.7%	1368	↑ top
4		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-3-1	12.5%	38.3%	42.0%	44.9%	1111	↓ low
5		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	52.6%	50.0%	51.0%	1227	↓ low
6		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-1-1	25.0%	40.1%	43.3%	42.8%	1253	—
7		Wind Neos Tonoris	Tier 1	1	11.1%	5-1-0	83.3%	64.5%	60.0%	56.8%	1525	↑ top
8		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	11.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	39.9%	47.8%	45.2%	1417	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 11.1%