← MY Hobby PTM Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 1
at MY Hobby PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.4%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1335
· median 1335
· range 1335–1335
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1139
Q1 1278
Q3 1423
1472
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 19.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.7% | -10.8 |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +4.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
