← MY Hobby PTM Store Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at MY Hobby PTM Store Championship
decks
3
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
7-4-4
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1420
· median 1420
· range 1383–1456
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1139
Q1 1278
Q3 1423
1472
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 19.0% | 6 | 3-1-2 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 36.9% | -12.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -4.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.9% | -4.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
