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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at MY Hobby PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.1%
avg ELO -6.3 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1404
· median 1404
· range 1404–1404
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1139
Q1 1278
Q3 1423
1472
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 19.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -5.6 |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
