← Ascent Worlds Team Standard

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Ascent Worlds Team Standard. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Aggro 30 11.6% 0 — — — — 1278 —
2 Fire Arcane 14 5.4% 0 — — — — 1318 —
3 Fire Crux Hybrid 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1302 —
4 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1323 —
5 Fire Crux Mage 11 4.3% 0 — — — — 1289 —
6 Fire Erupting 32 12.4% 0 — — — — 1306 —
7 Fire Luxem Assassin 12 4.7% 0 — — — — 1307 —
8 Fire Neos 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1021 ↓ low
9 Fire Tera Tamer 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1197 ↓ low
10 Fire Umbra Ranger 3 1.2% 0 — — — — 1314 —
11 Water Allies 30 11.6% 0 — — — — 1303 —
12 Water Arcane 2 0.8% 0 — — — — 1291 —
13 Water Crux Mage 4 1.6% 0 — — — — 1258 —
14 Water Luxem Assassin 21 8.1% 0 — — — — 1332 —
15 Water Neos 2 0.8% 0 — — — — 1301 —
16 Water Neos Tonoris 4 1.6% 0 — — — — 1448 ↑ top
17 Water Tonoris 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1129 ↓ low
18 Water Umbra Diana 2 0.8% 0 — — — — 1324 —
19 Water Umbra Ranger 9 3.5% 0 — — — — 1337 —
20 Water Zander 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1052 ↓ low
21 Wind Allies 50 19.4% 0 — — — — 1317 —
22 Wind Arcane 3 1.2% 0 — — — — 1320 —
23 Wind Crux Lorraine 19 7.4% 0 — — — — 1343 —
24 Wind Crux Mage 3 1.2% 0 — — — — 1434 ↑ top
25 Wind Crux Merlin 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1162 ↓ low
26 Wind Luxem Assassin 3 1.2% 0 — — — — 1324 —
27 Wind Neos Tonoris 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1200 ↓ low
28 Wind Tera Silvie 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1199 ↓ low
29 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 0.4% 0 — — — — 1202 ↓ low