← IKI Store Championship PTM Season
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at IKI Store Championship PTM Season.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 83.3% | 66.3% | 57.5% | 55.2% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 83.3% | 66.3% | 57.5% | 55.2% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 5.9% | 8 | 62.5% | 57.2% | 54.5% | 53.7% | 1411 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 50.0% | 40.2% | 53.3% | 49.7% | 1446 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 17.6% | 14 | 57.1% | 58.4% | 53.0% | 53.4% | 1294 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 50.0% | 41.1% | 52.5% | 48.9% | 1437 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 70.0% | 63.8% | 51.2% | 52.8% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 33.7% | 50.6% | 43.4% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.2% | 50.0% | 51.1% | 1308 | — |
| 10 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 61.9% | 50.0% | 54.3% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 33.3% | 49.1% | 46.7% | 49.1% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Chess | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 41.7% | 33.3% | 46.2% | 42.2% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 11.8% | 7 | 14.3% | 39.9% | 41.0% | 45.9% | 1216 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Umbra Guardian | 2 | 11.8% | 10 | 20.0% | 37.0% | 40.8% | 44.5% | 1155 | ↓ low |